Libya’s oil output, FX, reconstruction prospects, and political risk.
Libya
Libya’s CBL renews IMF dialogue to unify policy, targeting a parallel premium cut below 15% and reserves near USD 100 bn as Brent oil (BZ=F) stabilizes output around 1.2 mb/d; frontier flows via XSFR.L gauge confidence in reform credibility.
Libya
Libya’s RAMP integration strengthens reserve management and FX governance. With Brent (BZ=F) steady near $85 and EMB spreads tightening, investors see credible reform that could anchor inflation near 2–3% and reinforce Libya’s external balance through 2026.
Libya
CBL’s digital clampdown formalizes trade and curbs FX leakage as BZ=F stays range-bound; adoption metrics guide risk premia while networks MA and V benefit from higher acceptance, signaling conditional monetary consolidation if execution holds.
Libya
Libya’s LBC–IsDB workshop targets SME export formalisation as BZ=F holds near $85 and XAUUSD stays elevated. With GDP 3.0–3.5% and USD/LYD broadly stable, a 20–30% rise in registered SME exports could cut FX settlement to under 30 days.
Policy & Economy
Sarkozy’s guilty verdict is historic, but OATs remain stable. France accounts for 15% of euro area GDP, with €2.9T public debt and euro reserves near 20% globally—proof markets care more about fundamentals than old scandals.