Kelvin Peter Msangi is a Tanzanian finance and economics researcher known for data-driven analysis on fiscal policy, markets, and economic reform. His work has been featured in leading publications across East Africa and other regions.
European Union (EU)
The EU plans an “in-kind” tariff tying Chinese finished-goods exports to mandatory rare-earth and metal deliveries, seeking to cut 75 % import dependence under its Critical Raw Materials Act as Eramet (PA: ERA) and Glencore (LSE: GLEN) gain.
South Sudan
South Sudan’s FATF status lifts trade-finance costs and lengthens settlement as Brent (LCOc1) stays range-bound and frontier risk gauges like MSCIFM reprice governance; watch LC coverage, inflation, reserves for 2026 recalibration.
Uganda
Uganda secures $650m UAE projects across energy, logistics, and agro-processing; reserves at $4.1b and UGX/USD 3,840 stay stable; yields (UG10Y) and USE: UCL equities poised for liquidity uplift.
Liberia
Liberia targets port modernisation to revive FDI, balancing risk and fiscal discipline. With Brent ≈ $85 and LD/USD ≈ 190, PPP projects worth $120 m could lift growth to 5% if execution and customs reform hold.
Senegal
Senegal’s debt service will jump $1 billion in 2026 after hidden SOE loans surfaced. Eurobond yields rose to 8.7%, CFA ≈ 604/USD. Transparency measures and IMF targets now define fiscal credibility in WAEMU markets.
Algeria
Algeria’s SONATRACH revenue hits US $45 bn as CL = F averages US $82 and gas $11.4 /mmbtu. Reserves rise above US $68 bn, bond yields fall 35 bps, inflation 6.7 %. Fiscal surplus 2.1 % of GDP anchors 2026 growth near 3.8 %.
Morocco
Morocco plans a 2040 coal phase-out requiring US $12 bn finance. MASI.MA up 1.2 %, BRENT ≈ US $81, MAD steady 10/USD. Energy imports –6 % of GDP; shift could save US $2 bn a year and train 20 k workers for renewables growth.
Africa
Africa’s growth forecast rises to 3.8% in 2025 as inflation eases and commodities hold steady. Debt service remains a drag, but investor flows and MSCI Frontier Africa gains suggest renewed confidence in policy and macro stability.
DR Congo
CMOC allocates US$1.08 billion to expand its DRC copper operations as global demand rises; copper (CL=F) and gold (XAUUSD) signals underline how critical-minerals supply shapes frontier growth and fiscal stability.
Mali
AFG Bank Mali plans $177 million in credit lines for miners, backed by BCEAO and regional partners. The funding anchors Mali’s formalisation agenda as XAUUSD holds near $2 405 and CL=F trades around $86, supporting exporter liquidity.
Egypt
Egypt’s remittances hit US $27 billion in eight months, lifting reserves to US $42 billion as DXY stays strong and CL=F above US $81. FX liquidity eases yields 35 bps and anchors the pound near EGP 50/USD amid lower CPI and steady diaspora flows.
Nigeria
Nigeria’s new capital-gains-tax brackets exempt small investors while tightening rules for high-income portfolios. The policy, effective Q1 2026, aims to lift non-oil revenue toward 10 % of GDP as DXY and MSCI Frontier Africa stay steady.